Craig Trapp
-=TOP PLAY=- NBA | May 14
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers -8-108
OK, finally we are on a Bonus Play run of winners in a row. Yesterday made three days in a row that Handicapper Craig Trapp hit his Bonus Play. Today we look to extend Bonus Play streak to 4 with our NBA free Winner!! Lets look at the trends and winning breakdown.
Betting Trends
LAL are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
LAL are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Houston.
Rockets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
Kobe and company came out in Game 4 and sent a statement that they are not going to mess with the shorthanded Rockets. Houston plays so much better at home but if the Lakers come out motivated they can't play with LA. Houston on only one days rest with travel on that day could really get worn down in this game 6. The injuries finally catch up to the overachieving Rockets and they fall apart in the 2nd of game 6. Kobe takes a back seat in this game as the inside big guys carry the load. SCORE LAL 99 - HOU 84<!-- / message -->
-=TOP PLAY=- NBA | May 14
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers -8-108
OK, finally we are on a Bonus Play run of winners in a row. Yesterday made three days in a row that Handicapper Craig Trapp hit his Bonus Play. Today we look to extend Bonus Play streak to 4 with our NBA free Winner!! Lets look at the trends and winning breakdown.
Betting Trends
LAL are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
LAL are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Houston.
Rockets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
Kobe and company came out in Game 4 and sent a statement that they are not going to mess with the shorthanded Rockets. Houston plays so much better at home but if the Lakers come out motivated they can't play with LA. Houston on only one days rest with travel on that day could really get worn down in this game 6. The injuries finally catch up to the overachieving Rockets and they fall apart in the 2nd of game 6. Kobe takes a back seat in this game as the inside big guys carry the load. SCORE LAL 99 - HOU 84<!-- / message -->
Doc's Sports
MLB | May 14
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies Houston Astros -117
Free Pick from Doc's Sports Take #967 Houston Astros over Colorado Rockies (3:10pm.) It is getaway day at Coors, and both of these teams are trying desperately to reach the .500 plateau. Wandy Rodriguez (3-2, 1.80) is probably the most underrated pitcher in the NL. He has been the Astro's most consistent starter by far. Rodriguez has a 3-1 career record and a 3.50 ERA in seven starts versus the Rockies. Jason Hammel on the hill for the home team, has never faced the Astros. He has been a Jekyll and hyde this season. In three appearances at home, Hammel has a 10.80 ERA, but has yet to allow an earned run on the road. Feeling here is that he is just what the Doctor ordered to help get the Astro hitters get their heads out of their behinds.
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MLB | May 14
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies Houston Astros -117
Free Pick from Doc's Sports Take #967 Houston Astros over Colorado Rockies (3:10pm.) It is getaway day at Coors, and both of these teams are trying desperately to reach the .500 plateau. Wandy Rodriguez (3-2, 1.80) is probably the most underrated pitcher in the NL. He has been the Astro's most consistent starter by far. Rodriguez has a 3-1 career record and a 3.50 ERA in seven starts versus the Rockies. Jason Hammel on the hill for the home team, has never faced the Astros. He has been a Jekyll and hyde this season. In three appearances at home, Hammel has a 10.80 ERA, but has yet to allow an earned run on the road. Feeling here is that he is just what the Doctor ordered to help get the Astro hitters get their heads out of their behinds.
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Rob Vinciletti
MLB | May 14
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers Seattle Mariners -110
On Thursday the Bonus Play is on the Seattle Mariners.Game 915 at 2:05 eastern.The Mariners are 7-2 vs Leftys this year hitting .287 while averaging almost 6 runs per game.On the road priced at +100 to -125 they have won 3 of 4 times.The M/S have Felix "The Cat" Hernandez slated to start today.In his last start down in Texas he pitched superbly,going 7+ innings allowing just 1 run.Texas on the other hand is coming off there big extra inning win last night and have Lefty Harrison pitching.In his 2 starts vs Seattle he has pitched poorly going 0-2 with a 6.96 era.If he gets out pitched by F.Hernandez here it could spell trouble for Texas as coming off an extra inning late night game, the last thing they want is to go back to a tired bullpen.In day action I have another 100% totals play in MLB action.Last night I swept the board as the bases is starting to heat up.The Nba and late bases will be on the second report.For the Bonus Play take the Mariners today.
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MLB | May 14
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers Seattle Mariners -110
On Thursday the Bonus Play is on the Seattle Mariners.Game 915 at 2:05 eastern.The Mariners are 7-2 vs Leftys this year hitting .287 while averaging almost 6 runs per game.On the road priced at +100 to -125 they have won 3 of 4 times.The M/S have Felix "The Cat" Hernandez slated to start today.In his last start down in Texas he pitched superbly,going 7+ innings allowing just 1 run.Texas on the other hand is coming off there big extra inning win last night and have Lefty Harrison pitching.In his 2 starts vs Seattle he has pitched poorly going 0-2 with a 6.96 era.If he gets out pitched by F.Hernandez here it could spell trouble for Texas as coming off an extra inning late night game, the last thing they want is to go back to a tired bullpen.In day action I have another 100% totals play in MLB action.Last night I swept the board as the bases is starting to heat up.The Nba and late bases will be on the second report.For the Bonus Play take the Mariners today.
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GameHunter
2009 Record: 136-115, +52.5224 Lemons
Wednesday: 5-3, +4.2025 units
Short on time this morning so I am posting early. I'd probably consider splitting some unders into first 5 inning unders, but don't have time to wait for such lines. Good luck!
UNDER FLA/MILW 8 RUNS (-104) (1.75 UNITS)
PHILADELPHIA -116 (1.75 UNITS)
UNDER LAD/PHIL 8.5 RUNS (-112) (1.75 UNITS)
SAN DIEGO +163 (1.5 UNITS)
ST. LOUIS -110 (1.75 UNITS)
UNDER METS/SF 9 RUNS (-113) (1.5 UNITS)
UNDER DET/MINNY 8.5 RUNS (-120) (1.75 UNITS)
BALTIMORE +123 (1.75 UNITS)
2009 Record: 136-115, +52.5224 Lemons
Wednesday: 5-3, +4.2025 units
Short on time this morning so I am posting early. I'd probably consider splitting some unders into first 5 inning unders, but don't have time to wait for such lines. Good luck!
UNDER FLA/MILW 8 RUNS (-104) (1.75 UNITS)
PHILADELPHIA -116 (1.75 UNITS)
UNDER LAD/PHIL 8.5 RUNS (-112) (1.75 UNITS)
SAN DIEGO +163 (1.5 UNITS)
ST. LOUIS -110 (1.75 UNITS)
UNDER METS/SF 9 RUNS (-113) (1.5 UNITS)
UNDER DET/MINNY 8.5 RUNS (-120) (1.75 UNITS)
BALTIMORE +123 (1.75 UNITS)
Larry Ness Thursday
7* Team Mismatch
As I believe most fans are aware, the Pirates last posted a winning season back in 1992. It's the longest active drought of non-winning seasons in MLB. The Pirates opened the 2009 season 11-7 but had lost EIGHT straight and 12 of 13 games before opening a three-game series with the Cards on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the Cards came into the series hoping to pad their lead atop the NL Central. However, that hasn't been the case. The Pirates won 7-1 on Tuesday and 5-2 last night, so on Thursday, the 20-14 Cards will be hoping to avoid being swept for the first time this season. St Louis has scored the second-most runs in the NL (175) but its offense has been virtually nonexistent in Pittsburgh, scoring just three runs on a total of only 11 hits in the first two games of this series. That being said, I'm playing 'on' the Cards tonight, as they own too many advantages over the Pirates in this one. The Cards average almost a full run per game higher than the Pirates this year (5.15-to-4.30), which is HUGE. While Pittsburgh's gotten some good efforts from its starters this year, Jeff Karstens hasn't been one of those starters. He was with the Yankees in 2006 and 2007, not getting much "big league time," while going 3-5 with a 5.65 ERA when he did play in "the bigs" (15 appearances, including nine starts). He was in the minors last summer, when he was included in the Xavier Nady trade and in the first week of August, won two straight games for the Pirates. He won in Wrigley 3-0 over the Cubs and then beat the D'backs 2-0 in Pittsburgh. He pitched 15 scoreless innings in those two games (0.00 ERA), while allowing only seven hits. However, his success was short-lived. The Pirates gave Karstens seven more starts in 2008 but he went 0-6 with a 5.70 ERA (team weas 0-7). So far in 2009, he's been given five starts, going 1-1 with a 5.19 ERA (team is 1-4). Doing the math, the Pirates are now 1-11 in Karstens' last 12 starts! Opposing Karstens will be the Cards' Mitchell Boggs. He's no All-Star but he's WAY better than Karstens. He got very little work last year, making eight appearances (six starts), going 3-2 with a terrible 7.41 ERA (team was 4-2 in his starts). His first start of 2009 didn't come until April 25 but Boggs has done a decent job. He's 1-0 with a solid 3.38 ERA, as the Cards have won all three games. Expect the MUCH BETTER team (St Louis), to avoid the road sweep in this one.
Team Mismatch on the Stl Cards
9* Perfect Storm - NBA
I've been on the Celtics in ALL three of their wins in this series and have yet to play 'on' the Magic in any game of this series. That changes here. In Games 4 and 5, I was counting on Boston's experience in "big time pressure situations' to get them through and each time, I've been right. However, I was very lucky to win with the Celtics in Game 5. The Magic really let Boston "off the hook" in that game and while you are hearing 'rumblings' of discontent coming from the Magic camp (Howard wants the ball more and Van Gundy's coaching prowess has been in question since mid-season), I'm not going to let that shake my confidence in this play. With KG and Powe unavailable, the Celtics are being stretched very thin these days. Both Allen and Rondo are way off in their shooting percentages in the postseason. Allen's shooting 40.7 percent (down from 48.0) and Rondo's at 41.8 percent (down from 50.5). House is now the only real 'threat' off the bench and he's inconsistent, at best. Marbury had been a total 'disaster' in the postseason for the Celtics but then suddenly scored 12 points in the 4th quarter in Game 5. He's been reluctant to shoot throughout the entire playoffs (4.0 PPG on 31.1 percent shooting, including Tuesday's outburst) and can't even spell the word defense. The schedule maker is also helping out the Magic in this game, as this series began on May 4 and it's been contested every other day. There has not been a single two-day break between any game and with Boston coming off its draining overtime-laden seven-game series with the Bulls, the Celtics have to be "running on fumes." I don't want to get "ahead of myself," so let's stick to the task at hand. Game 6 will be "all Orlando," with Howard getting the ball and dominating, while Lewis, Turkoglu and the others, all "get theirs" as well. There have been 19 games in the second round of the palyoffs (to-date), with the SU winner going 17-0-2 ATS (both pushes came this past Monday and one could have won on both the Cavs and Mavs in those games). I'm not going to predict an Orlando win but no cover, here.
9* PERFECT STORM play on the Orl Magic.
Read the last line of Larry's writeup, it says I predict an Orlando win, but no cover? Yet he has the Magic? WTF.
7* Team Mismatch
As I believe most fans are aware, the Pirates last posted a winning season back in 1992. It's the longest active drought of non-winning seasons in MLB. The Pirates opened the 2009 season 11-7 but had lost EIGHT straight and 12 of 13 games before opening a three-game series with the Cards on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the Cards came into the series hoping to pad their lead atop the NL Central. However, that hasn't been the case. The Pirates won 7-1 on Tuesday and 5-2 last night, so on Thursday, the 20-14 Cards will be hoping to avoid being swept for the first time this season. St Louis has scored the second-most runs in the NL (175) but its offense has been virtually nonexistent in Pittsburgh, scoring just three runs on a total of only 11 hits in the first two games of this series. That being said, I'm playing 'on' the Cards tonight, as they own too many advantages over the Pirates in this one. The Cards average almost a full run per game higher than the Pirates this year (5.15-to-4.30), which is HUGE. While Pittsburgh's gotten some good efforts from its starters this year, Jeff Karstens hasn't been one of those starters. He was with the Yankees in 2006 and 2007, not getting much "big league time," while going 3-5 with a 5.65 ERA when he did play in "the bigs" (15 appearances, including nine starts). He was in the minors last summer, when he was included in the Xavier Nady trade and in the first week of August, won two straight games for the Pirates. He won in Wrigley 3-0 over the Cubs and then beat the D'backs 2-0 in Pittsburgh. He pitched 15 scoreless innings in those two games (0.00 ERA), while allowing only seven hits. However, his success was short-lived. The Pirates gave Karstens seven more starts in 2008 but he went 0-6 with a 5.70 ERA (team weas 0-7). So far in 2009, he's been given five starts, going 1-1 with a 5.19 ERA (team is 1-4). Doing the math, the Pirates are now 1-11 in Karstens' last 12 starts! Opposing Karstens will be the Cards' Mitchell Boggs. He's no All-Star but he's WAY better than Karstens. He got very little work last year, making eight appearances (six starts), going 3-2 with a terrible 7.41 ERA (team was 4-2 in his starts). His first start of 2009 didn't come until April 25 but Boggs has done a decent job. He's 1-0 with a solid 3.38 ERA, as the Cards have won all three games. Expect the MUCH BETTER team (St Louis), to avoid the road sweep in this one.
Team Mismatch on the Stl Cards
9* Perfect Storm - NBA
I've been on the Celtics in ALL three of their wins in this series and have yet to play 'on' the Magic in any game of this series. That changes here. In Games 4 and 5, I was counting on Boston's experience in "big time pressure situations' to get them through and each time, I've been right. However, I was very lucky to win with the Celtics in Game 5. The Magic really let Boston "off the hook" in that game and while you are hearing 'rumblings' of discontent coming from the Magic camp (Howard wants the ball more and Van Gundy's coaching prowess has been in question since mid-season), I'm not going to let that shake my confidence in this play. With KG and Powe unavailable, the Celtics are being stretched very thin these days. Both Allen and Rondo are way off in their shooting percentages in the postseason. Allen's shooting 40.7 percent (down from 48.0) and Rondo's at 41.8 percent (down from 50.5). House is now the only real 'threat' off the bench and he's inconsistent, at best. Marbury had been a total 'disaster' in the postseason for the Celtics but then suddenly scored 12 points in the 4th quarter in Game 5. He's been reluctant to shoot throughout the entire playoffs (4.0 PPG on 31.1 percent shooting, including Tuesday's outburst) and can't even spell the word defense. The schedule maker is also helping out the Magic in this game, as this series began on May 4 and it's been contested every other day. There has not been a single two-day break between any game and with Boston coming off its draining overtime-laden seven-game series with the Bulls, the Celtics have to be "running on fumes." I don't want to get "ahead of myself," so let's stick to the task at hand. Game 6 will be "all Orlando," with Howard getting the ball and dominating, while Lewis, Turkoglu and the others, all "get theirs" as well. There have been 19 games in the second round of the palyoffs (to-date), with the SU winner going 17-0-2 ATS (both pushes came this past Monday and one could have won on both the Cavs and Mavs in those games). I'm not going to predict an Orlando win but no cover, here.
9* PERFECT STORM play on the Orl Magic.
Read the last line of Larry's writeup, it says I predict an Orlando win, but no cover? Yet he has the Magic? WTF.
I just wrote to their staff and this is what they told me via live chat.
Experts Staff:
ok...its just worded kind of poorly
Experts Staff:
the play is definitely on Orlando
Experts Staff:
and what hes saying is that he is not going to say Orlando wins the game, but does not cover
Experts Staff:
basically he's saying Orlando winning SU is a foregone conclusion
Experts Staff:
ok...its just worded kind of poorly
Experts Staff:
the play is definitely on Orlando
Experts Staff:
and what hes saying is that he is not going to say Orlando wins the game, but does not cover
Experts Staff:
basically he's saying Orlando winning SU is a foregone conclusion
Thanks guys for the info. So who ever had the ucbs over last night lost[/quote]
Well you didn't lose but your win turned into a "No Bet". So basically whoever bet on the total in that game just get's their wager back and their is no outcome win or lose. So yes the people who had the over got suckered and the people who had the under got really lucky.
Well you didn't lose but your win turned into a "No Bet". So basically whoever bet on the total in that game just get's their wager back and their is no outcome win or lose. So yes the people who had the over got suckered and the people who had the under got really lucky.
